Here is September 5th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.

Here is September 6th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.

Here is September 7th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.

No updates on Thursdays.

Here is September 9th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.

Here is September 10th's update!

A few improvements:

  • I'm gonna try and include more images, now that I've figured out how to do it on my end without things getting confusing. Namely, I now have a whole folder on my computer dedicated to this stuff where I can put things. A truly incredible development. However, a lot of the articles don't have images, and if they do, they aren't all that noteworthy - think "typical stock image of an oil barrel or a dude looking frazzled at a stock market screen". But still, there's usually at least 1 or 2 images that I can and should put in every day for added pizazz.

  • I'm actually using the tagging system, instead of it just being "ukraine" and "russia" the whole time, and will be slowly working on adding them for the previous updates too. Eventually, you will be able to search by country throughout the whole update list, from the ever-present "china" or "united states" to the very rare "uzbekistan".

  • More consistent climate and space updates. Hopefully.

  • 100% more love for our trans comrades.

  • Adding what you people post in these megathreads to the summaries too. The tyranny of only referring to my own work without talking about anything of the comments you guys make shall end.

On that note: do you have a lot of knowledge about the current state of a particular country (beyond mindless electorialism)? Do you, for some reason, have a lot of knowledge about hydrogen power, or the fossil fuel industry, or renewables, or rare earth mining, or have you delved into a wikipedia rabbithole on a topic and became a semi-expert? Hell, are you an actual expert? If the answer to any of the above is yes, please comment more! There are like 200 countries on this planet and I realistically only have time to talk about a fraction of them on a given day, and of that fraction, only a single article. I may have a vibe about certain countries, but if you wanna rant about the current situation in X country or how neoliberalism is ruining Y country, but you think "nah, who gives a shit" - I give a shit. Some of the best content in these megathreads is people being like "The general media narrative around what's happening in this country is wrong, here's what's actually going on here."

I'll even quote your username in the summaries if you do it. It's a meritocratic version of the general megathread's username list that they do every time. The thrill of a purple number next to the bell in the upper right corner of your screen can be yours for the low low price of a microessay for our reading pleasure.

Links and Stuff

Want to contribute?

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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists, for the "buh Zeleski is a jew?!?!" people.

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can, thank you.


Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map, who is an independent youtuber with a mostly neutral viewpoint.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)

Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict and, unlike most western analysts, has some degree of understanding on how war works. He is a reactionary, however.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.

https://t.me/asbmil ~ ASB Military News, banned from Twitter.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster - crowd-funded U.S journalist, mostly pro-Russian, works on the ground near warzones to report news and talk to locals.

https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.

https://t.me/rybar ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

With the entire western media sphere being overwhelming pro-Ukraine already, you shouldn't really need more, but:

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • SoyViking [he/him]
    hexbear
    36
    2 years ago

    Liberals have no understanding of time. They see two months'worth of gas and think their entire gas-dependent economy is saved.

      • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
        hexagon
        M
        hexbear
        25
        2 years ago

        and I don’t think renewables are going to come in in time to save them until maybe 2030 or so, and that’s a big if for that to happen.

        Unless anybody foresees a major advancement in battery technology in the next 8 years - entirely possible but difficult to believe it'll be in widespread construction by then - wind and solar power will still have the same issues as before. And this is exacerbated by the lack of wind that we've seen when large volumes of warm air just sit there and doesn't move, like I think happened in Texas, which stops wind power working, and it being so hot that solar power begins to be less efficient. And on top of all that, building these renewable energy sources requires materials, particularly metals, particularly critical minerals, particularly ones from Russia and China. Renewables are a crucial part of a green transition, especially once battery technology gets much better, but without nuclear to provide the backbone, I don't see how it would even do all that much to save them.

        • Multihedra [he/him]
          hexbear
          14
          2 years ago

          Battery storage for bulk electricity is not going to be terribly feasible ever, I don’t think. I’m not a battery expert, but I don’t really know of any that operate at even primary distribution voltages (7-12kV roughly), let alone sub transmission or transmission. Which just means you’re limited to storing distribution levels of energy.

          Some relevant things I’ve learned about bulk electric power

          The hierarchical structure of the grid is primarily organized by voltage levels. I only have direct experience with one portion of the US grid, so there are lots of particularities that won’t apply in Europe or even, say, the west coast of the US.

          But real transmission voltages are 100+ kV, arguably 200+ kV. The idea is that by cranking up the voltage, you need less current to provide a certain power (by def, complex power S = VI*. When the size of V goes up, the size of I goes down). This is good for the transmission of power, because energy losses due to line resistance go up quadratically with line current: P = I^2 R. That’s the real power P, which is just one component of the complex power S. But energy losses always come from P.

          So if you double operating voltage, currents get halved, which equates to 1/4 less power losses and line-heating. Line-heating (the rise in temperature of transmissions lines) is the main contributor to a line’s power transmission limit and is cause directly by these I^2 R losses (that energy is lost to raising the temperature of transmission lines), so what this usually means in practice is that lines operating at 2x voltage transmit 4x the power. This is why they use higher voltages, to reduce the number of lines needed.

          Raising the voltage isn’t the life-hack it might seem initially, because higher voltages require significantly more insulation and space (the space between the three phases of lines increases. You can have distribution phases like a foot apart, but at 100+ kV those babies need to be 13-14 feet from each other and 9 feet from anything at ground potential). More insulation means greater heights, more sturdy load-bearing equipment, and more space for substations and rights-of-way for the lines themselves.

          So there are big infrastructure costs to significantly higher voltages, even though they transmit more power per line, and more cheaply per unit energy.

          These physical realities have a big impact on how the grid is laid out, both in terms of how we organize it intellectually in order to study and operate it, but also its physical implementation.

          It means that generators capable of supplying lots of energy (like nuclear or hydro plants capable of supplying GW) generally get the expensive, highest-voltage switchgear to step up to the highest voltages, in order to be transmitted the furthest distances with the lowest losses.

          As these high-voltage lines connect to different substations, there are transformers that convert the energy to lower voltages to feed the sub-transmission lines. AEP set up their standards of 345/138/69 kV levels in the 60s, so that’s pretty common in some places as an example. 345kV is really just for bulk energy transmission, while a few big industrial consumers might tap into 138 or 69 kV and lower lines. You’ll also get smaller power plants connecting at these slightly lower voltages, especially if they’re sufficiently near the big load centers the power ultimately flows to (line resistance and therefore losses are proportional to the length of the lines too).

          Generally the few small-scale renewable projects I’ve seen integrate at the lower sub transmission levels, just above distribution voltages. It’s here that I would hope serious energy storage could be accomplished, although I don’t know what form it will take

          All of this is to say that if they only have access to very low, end-user voltage batteries (like a few hundred V), it’s hard for me to see significant portions of energy being stored electro-chemically. It seems like everyone would basically need their own individual outlet-voltage battery, which seems like a nightmare both practically and environmentally

          Alternative schemes involve using excess energy to pump water somewhere where it can later do useful work (spinning a turbine, say) when the renewable source isn’t supplying. I think something like that needs to be around balance out very large energy flow imbalances, unfortunately. I don’t have much faith in batteries, in this regard.

          This is all just to say that there are serious problems integrating renewable energy into the existing grid. I would not trust the judgement of power suppliers in the US or Europe, but I would be interested to look more closely at how China manages renewables, and its energy system in general. In the US we have only “deregulation” to provide any semblance of anti-trust laws, which also introduced some really fucky stuff in terms of what energy source (coal, nuclear, nat gas, etc) gets used to fulfill what portions of the demand, with natural gas being the plant of choice to meet short term “spot” demand, at often inflated prices. So you have this weird queue system to condemn with too.

          Maybe later I will talk a bit about the other main problem renewables tend to bring: electronic components introducing “harmonic” distortions in the energy flow. It’s not unique to renewables, but most renewables have generated power flows in series with electronic devices, and it can do some weird things from what I understand

          • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
            hexagon
            M
            hexbear
            8
            2 years ago

            I'd be very interested in this!

            On top of what you've said, to what extent do you think this is a capitalist problems vs a technological problem? For example, in a borderless world, could a worldwide network of solar or wind energy "solve" the issue of energy storage, or would there be other problems with this?

              • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
                hexagon
                M
                hexbear
                5
                2 years ago

                I only mention that specific example because it's something that China has previously proposed - the "global energy internet". As China dominates ultra-high-voltage transmission technology, it would obviously be in their best interest to be the ones who create and maintain them, but it's an interesting idea regardless of the political advantages.

                From Bloomberg, in 2021:

                For people who’ve been promoting the idea of supergrids for years, it feels as though the winds have turned in their favor. “I think our time has come,” says Mika Ohbayashi, director of the Renewable Energy Institute, a Tokyo-based organization set up in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster by Softbank Group Corp. founder Masayoshi Son. Its mission is to promote a Northeast Asia supergrid that would connect China, Japan, Mongolia, Russia, and South Korea. Says Ohbayashi: “I cannot imagine a Japan in 2050 which is still isolated from everywhere else.”

                Europe has been building HVDC connectors to allow the controlled supply of power from one nation’s AC grid to another for decades: In 2018, European countries traded just over 9% of their electricity across borders, compared to less than 2% in the Americas and 0.6% in Asia, according to the International Energy Agency. The trade tends to reduce prices by increasing competition. It also boosts resilience, ensuring that should one nation’s grid suffer a catastrophic outage, it could simply draw from others to keep the lights on.

                ...

                HVDC cables can also make viable the construction of remote, power plant-size renewable installations on land. Mongolia’s Gobi desert is at the heart of the Northeast Asia supergrid project promoted both by China and Ohbayashi’s institute. In theory, the Gobi has potential to deliver 2.6 terawatts of wind and solar power—more than double the U.S.’s entire installed power generation capacity—to a group of Asian powerhouse economies that together produce well over a third of global carbon emissions. The Gobi’s potential remains largely unrealized, in part because there is currently little means to deliver the power produced there beyond Mongolia’s tiny market.

                The same goes for the U.S., where with the right infrastructure, New York could tap into sun- and wind-rich resources from the South and Midwest. An even more ambitious vision would access power from as far afield as Canada or Chile’s Atacama Desert, which has the world’s highest known levels of solar power potential per square meter. Jeremy Rifkin, a U.S. economist who has become the go-to figure for countries looking to remake their infrastructure for the digital and renewable future, sees potential for a single, 1.1 billion-person electricity market in the Americas that would be almost as big as China’s. Rifkin has advised Germany and the EU, as well as China; Xi’s vision of a global energy network is straight out of his 2011 book, The Third Industrial Revolution.

                If transcontinental, submarine electricity superhighways indeed lie in our shared future, China is showing the way. In December, it completed a $3.45 billion, 970-mile-long, 800-kilovolt UHVDC line to carry solar- and wind-generated power from the high Tibetan plains to China’s center. That followed construction of a 1.1 million-volt cable that can transmit up to 12,000 megawatts of power—a little more than the entire installed generation capacity of Ireland—from the deserts and mountains of Xinjiang province to the doorstep of Shanghai, almost 2,000 miles east. (High voltage cables are classed as 500 kilovolts and above, while ultra-high voltage—a Chinese specialty—operate at 800 kilovolts or above.)

                The global supergrid effort has been spearheaded by Liu Zhenya, a former head of the State Grid Corp. of China (SGCC), who chairs the Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, a UN-backed body based in Beijing. Geidco’s phased plan starts by strengthening national grids and moves on to building regional networks, before finally—around 2070—completing construction of a full 18-channel Earth-spanning grid.

                SGCC, which is the world’s largest utility, has been on a buying spree that’s enabling it to do some of that first-stage strengthening. Since 2008, it has acquired stakes as high as 85% in electricity distribution companies in the Philippines, Portugal, Australia, Hong Kong, Brazil, Greece, Italy, and last year, Oman. Other Chinese companies have also been buying shares in foreign grids.

                “From a U.S. perspective, this is something to be worried about,” says Phillip Cornell, an energy specialist at Washington’s Atlantic Council. “It isn’t that ‘I will cut off your power,’ like Russia cut off gas supplies to Europe in 2006, or like OPEC in the ‘70s. But the equation with the global financial system is a good one. You are laying down the backbone of countries’ power systems, and there is a lot of hardware and software involved. All of a sudden, you are in a Chinese ecosystem.”

                • Commiejones [comrade/them, he/him]
                  hexbear
                  6
                  2 years ago

                  Buckminster Fuller proposed a seriously examined worldwide energy grid but was rejected because it would require all nations to pay equally for power.

            • Multihedra [he/him]
              hexbear
              2
              2 years ago

              I’ll try to organize my thoughts a bit more for round 2 and post them as a top level comment. But large-scale geographic connectivity requires electronic components too, so it’s a nice segue and jumping off point

          • Commiejones [comrade/them, he/him]
            hexbear
            7
            2 years ago

            A major Pumped hydro energry storage system is being built in Australia. (Snowy Hydro 2.0) They are expecting it to be done in 2026 and to have a 80% storage efficiency.

          • comi [he/him]
            hexbear
            5
            2 years ago

            There is also intermittent consumption side - refrigeration and home heating can be done on intermittent sources, if you are willing to sacrifice temperature range via phase transition storage.

        • Prinz1989 [he/him]
          hexbear
          12
          2 years ago

          I mean France went full nuclear and is pretty much in the worst position of all European mayor economies electricity wise. Germany is currently exporting electricity to France. All plants France is currently building are or will be way over budget and time and also might produce less energy then expected.

          I think nuclear is on the way out with Uranium supply being another headache. Serious hardship might mean that more and more European economys look back to the one ressouce they still have plenty of and for a reasonable price as well: coal.

            • Prinz1989 [he/him]
              hexbear
              10
              2 years ago

              It's really difficult to measure Chinas success. As far as I know the 5 year plan called originally for more plants than went actually online. Which might signal higher costs and longer build times as well. The newest generation (like thorium) still seems a good way of viability. Most investment seems to go into renewables.

              In India the situation is much like in France with nuclear energy being way to expensive.